Buffet Day 2

Not a bad day yesterday... some residual Pac12 hate (Dave Rice, you really waited until 7 minutes left to press? Really? Tad Boyle is still deciding today who will play PG for his time) cost us, as did Syracuse's phone in job. But anyway.... some thoughts on today.

The All-psychology parlay

Xavier v. Notre Dame -2 & Florida v. Virginia + 2.5:

It's hard to bet on Xavier. It's like betting on your crazy, oft-drunk uncle who used to play college football. He can be awesome, showing up with gifts, tales of athletic greatness - or he can show up a day late, wasted and tell your kids the trip to Disneyland is off because the park blew up. That's Xavier. We respect Mike Brey, Notre Dame buys in and executes his gameplan well, but they don't have the horses to contain Tu Holloway & Mark Lyons. Well, on paper, because Tu & Mark can harness themselves. We think you stay away - but if you want to throw down somewhere, Xavier is where we lean, they play great man-to-man, so Notre's spread, slow style won't confound them - and we think Lyons, Wells and Holloway are too much and pull through.

Also fun can be the Insane Asylum parlay and double up on Florida-Virginia. Florida seemed to check out in late February, Virginia hasn't beaten a team above ranked 1-100 in the RPI since January and come in losing 5 of 8. A great job by Tony Bennett with 7 scholarship players, but like Irish, but it seems the glue and tape has started to wear thin.

Vermont v. North Carolina -15

Even without Henson, this should be a cover cruise for UNC. Vermont is plagued by periods of no scoring. That does not something you like to see about NC. We see this as a step up game by James Michael McAdoo, as the X Factor to step in for Henson.

Long Island v. Michigan State -19

No one is betting against Tom Izzo. But the Buffet can name you 4 players on Long Island. Julian Boyd, Jamal Olasewere, Kenny Onyechi, and Jason Brickman. The Buffet is obssessed, yes. But we can't name 4 players from Lehigh. (sorry, if such a disappointing reveal has cost us subscribers). Point is, 19 sounds like a lot here, and since the Bookmakers have ruined what was going to be a great Over opportunity by putting it at 152, we are saying people are yelling "Blackbird singing in the dead of night" in Vegas while LIU-Brooklyn puts the fear of death into State and its obnoxious fans, before ultimately losing by 12-15 points.